League One · Matchweek 11
Barnsley
BAR
Cambridge United
CAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Barnsley47%
Draw25%
Cambridge28%
Expected goals
1.72 – 1.29
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–09.0%
- 2–07.0%
- 1–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Barnsley will have the ball; Cambridge will not mind.
60%Possession44%
26%Territory35%
21%From set plays26%
0.09Chance quality0.12
6.0%Directness7.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Barnsley, 4 for Cambridge. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.