League One · Matchweek 10
Stevenage
STE
Wigan Athletic
WIG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Stevenage47%
Draw28%
Wigan25%
Expected goals
1.44 – 0.99
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.1%
- 1–112.6%
- 0–09.9%
- 2–19.1%
- 2–08.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Wigan will have the ball; Stevenage will not mind.
38%Possession49%
37%Territory35%
24%From set plays32%
0.13Chance quality0.13
9.6%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Stevenage, 4 for Wigan. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.