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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

League One · Matchweek 10

Notts County

NOT

Oxford United

OXF

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Notts County38%
Draw28%
Oxford Utd34%

Expected goals

1.35 – 1.26

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.7%
  • 1–010.2%
  • 0–19.5%
  • 0–08.6%
  • 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Oxford Utd will have the ball; Notts County will not mind.

44%Possession54%
29%Territory32%
35%From set plays12%
0.09Chance quality0.18
4.0%Directness5.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Notts County, 3 for Oxford Utd. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.