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League One · Matchweek 10

Mansfield Town

MAN

Bromley

BRO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Mansfield54%
Draw25%
Bromley21%

Expected goals

1.69 – 0.99

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1012.1%
  • 1111.5%
  • 219.7%
  • 209.5%
  • 007.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Bromley get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

46%Possession40%
40%Territory43%
24%From set plays46%
0.10Chance quality0.08
7.2%Directness8.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Mansfield, 3 for Bromley. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.