League One · Matchweek 10
Doncaster Rovers
DON
Burton Albion
BUR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Doncaster47%
Draw27%
Burton26%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.11
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–011.3%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–08.1%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Doncaster will have the ball; Burton will not mind.
57%Possession47%
36%Territory34%
34%From set plays23%
0.12Chance quality0.10
6.7%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Doncaster, 3 for Burton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.