League One · Matchweek 9
Wigan Athletic
WIG
Mansfield Town
MAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wigan41%
Draw28%
Mansfield31%
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.24
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–010.2%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–18.6%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession46%
35%Territory40%
32%From set plays24%
0.13Chance quality0.10
5.5%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Wigan, 4 for Mansfield.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.