League One · Matchweek 9
Blackpool
BLA
Leicester City
LEI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Blackpool46%
Draw26%
Leicester28%
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.25
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–17.2%
- 2–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Leicester get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
56%Possession60%
32%Territory31%
12%From set plays27%
0.09Chance quality0.10
6.0%Directness2.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Blackpool, 3 for Leicester. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.