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League One · Matchweek 9

Blackpool

BLA

Leicester City

LEI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Blackpool29%
Draw26%
Leicester45%

Expected goals

1.29 – 1.62

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.5%
  • 0–19.3%
  • 1–29.2%
  • 1–07.2%
  • 2–17.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Leicester will have the ball; Blackpool will not mind.

51%Possession66%
39%Territory37%
26%From set plays23%
0.08Chance quality0.17
4.4%Directness2.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Blackpool, 4 for Leicester. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.