League One · Matchweek 9
Barnsley
BAR
Milton Keynes Dons
MIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Barnsley42%
Draw26%
MK Dons32%
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.37
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 2–18.9%
- 1–08.7%
- 1–27.5%
- 0–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Barnsley will have the ball; MK Dons will not mind.
60%Possession48%
26%Territory33%
21%From set plays43%
0.09Chance quality0.13
6.0%Directness8.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Barnsley, 4 for MK Dons. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.