League One · Matchweek 8
Wycombe Wanderers
WYC
Reading
REA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wycombe33%
Draw26%
Reading41%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.60
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–28.8%
- 0–18.2%
- 2–17.7%
- 1–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Wycombe get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
51%Possession48%
35%Territory29%
47%From set plays23%
0.09Chance quality0.15
6.5%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wycombe, 3 for Reading. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.