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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

League One · Matchweek 8

Stockport County

STO

Peterborough United

PET

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Stockport County57%
Draw23%
Peterborough20%

Expected goals

1.96 – 1.12

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.2%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 1–09.6%
  • 2–08.7%
  • 3–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

54%Possession60%
31%Territory35%
36%From set plays22%
0.12Chance quality0.09
4.7%Directness3.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Stockport County, 3 for Peterborough. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.