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League One · Matchweek 8

Stevenage

STE

Sheffield Wednesday

SHE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Stevenage48%
Draw28%
Sheff Wed24%

Expected goals

1.49 – 1.01

Over 2.5

45%

Both to score

50%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1012.7%
  • 1112.4%
  • 219.3%
  • 009.3%
  • 208.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Sheff Wed will have the ball; Stevenage will not mind.

38%Possession52%
37%Territory34%
24%From set plays17%
0.13Chance quality0.11
9.6%Directness4.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Stevenage, 3 for Sheff Wed. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.