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League One · Matchweek 8

Stevenage

STE

Sheffield Wednesday

SHE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Stevenage42%
Draw28%
Sheff Wed30%

Expected goals

1.44 – 1.20

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.5%
  • 1–010.7%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 0–18.7%
  • 0–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

47%Possession57%
36%Territory39%
23%From set plays31%
0.10Chance quality0.07
4.6%Directness5.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Stevenage, 4 for Sheff Wed. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

This competition has no player data in the current snapshot, so there is nobody to name. Better than naming somebody anyway.