League One · Matchweek 8
Notts County
NOT
Blackpool
BLA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Notts County43%
Draw28%
Blackpool29%
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.13
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–011.5%
- 0–08.9%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Blackpool will have the ball; Notts County will not mind.
39%Possession51%
38%Territory39%
14%From set plays26%
0.09Chance quality0.08
5.7%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Notts County, 3 for Blackpool. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.