League One · Matchweek 8
Leicester City
LEI
Wigan Athletic
WIG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leicester34%
Draw27%
Wigan38%
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.44
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 0–19.2%
- 1–08.6%
- 1–28.5%
- 2–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Leicester will have the ball; Wigan will not mind.
60%Possession49%
31%Territory35%
27%From set plays32%
0.10Chance quality0.13
2.6%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leicester, 4 for Wigan. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.