League One · Matchweek 8
Doncaster Rovers
DON
Oxford United
OXF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Doncaster50%
Draw25%
Oxford Utd25%
Expected goals
1.75 – 1.21
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 1–09.7%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–07.8%
- 0–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Doncaster get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
57%Possession54%
36%Territory32%
34%From set plays12%
0.12Chance quality0.18
6.7%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Doncaster, 3 for Oxford Utd. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.