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League One · Matchweek 8

Doncaster Rovers

DON

Oxford United

OXF

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Doncaster25%
Draw24%
Oxford Utd51%

Expected goals

1.31 – 1.91

Over 2.5

61%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.2%
  • 1–29.6%
  • 0–18.2%
  • 0–27.2%
  • 2–26.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Oxford Utd will have the ball; Doncaster will not mind.

42%Possession56%
27%Territory40%
36%From set plays19%
0.08Chance quality0.11
6.2%Directness5.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Doncaster, 4 for Oxford Utd.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.