League One · Matchweek 8
Doncaster Rovers
DON
Oxford United
OXF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Doncaster25%
Draw23%
Oxford Utd52%
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.96
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.9%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–17.7%
- 0–26.9%
- 2–26.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Oxford Utd will have the ball; Doncaster will not mind.
42%Possession56%
27%Territory40%
36%From set plays19%
0.09Chance quality0.11
6.3%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Doncaster, 4 for Oxford Utd.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.