League One · Matchweek 8
Cambridge United
CAM
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cambridge41%
Draw28%
Wimbledon31%
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.20
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–010.8%
- 0–19.1%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Wimbledon get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
44%Possession46%
35%Territory37%
26%From set plays44%
0.12Chance quality0.10
7.5%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Cambridge, 5 for Wimbledon.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.