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League One · Matchweek 7

Sheffield Wednesday

SHE

Stockport County

STO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sheff Wed30%
Draw25%
Stockport County45%

Expected goals

1.36 – 1.70

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.1%
  • 129.2%
  • 018.5%
  • 217.2%
  • 106.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Stockport County get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

52%Possession54%
34%Territory31%
17%From set plays36%
0.11Chance quality0.12
4.8%Directness4.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sheff Wed, 3 for Stockport County. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.