League One · Matchweek 7
Peterborough United
PET
Doncaster Rovers
DON
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Peterborough37%
Draw27%
Doncaster36%
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.39
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–08.9%
- 0–18.8%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
60%Possession57%
35%Territory36%
22%From set plays34%
0.09Chance quality0.12
3.8%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Peterborough, 3 for Doncaster. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Peterborough
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.