League One · Matchweek 7
Oxford United
OXF
Cambridge United
CAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Oxford Utd49%
Draw25%
Cambridge26%
Expected goals
1.72 – 1.23
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–09.5%
- 2–07.5%
- 1–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Oxford Utd will have the ball; Cambridge will not mind.
54%Possession44%
32%Territory35%
12%From set plays26%
0.18Chance quality0.12
5.5%Directness7.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Oxford Utd, 4 for Cambridge. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.