Championship · Matchweek 28
Stoke City
STK
Blackburn Rovers
BLA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Stoke59%
Draw25%
Blackburn17%
Expected goals
1.71 – 0.82
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.1%
- 2–011.3%
- 1–111.1%
- 2–19.6%
- 0–08.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Stoke will have the ball; Blackburn will not mind.
57%Possession40%
37%Territory28%
49%From set plays33%
0.09Chance quality0.09
4.3%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Stoke, 3 for Blackburn. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.