Skip to content

Championship · Matchweek 28

Sheffield United

SHU

Preston North End

PRE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sheff Utd67%
Draw20%
Preston13%

Expected goals

2.17 – 0.88

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–011.2%
  • 1–010.9%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–19.0%
  • 3–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Sheff Utd will have the ball; Preston will not mind.

48%Possession36%
47%Territory35%
60%From set plays43%
0.12Chance quality0.07
7.2%Directness5.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Sheff Utd, 3 for Preston. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.