Championship · Matchweek 28
Lincoln City
LIN
Watford
WAT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lincoln30%
Draw27%
Watford43%
Expected goals
1.26 – 1.53
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 0–19.9%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–07.9%
- 2–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Lincoln get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
38%Possession43%
28%Territory31%
57%From set plays31%
0.11Chance quality0.10
10.5%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Lincoln, 3 for Watford. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.