Championship · Matchweek 28
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
Charlton Athletic
CHA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bolton39%
Draw26%
Charlton34%
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.40
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–08.6%
- 1–27.9%
- 0–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Charlton get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
47%Possession43%
33%Territory32%
9%From set plays24%
0.09Chance quality0.07
6.4%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bolton, 3 for Charlton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Charlton
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.