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Championship · Matchweek 27

Wrexham

WRE

Sheffield United

SHU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Wrexham33%
Draw28%
Sheff Utd38%

Expected goals

1.24 – 1.34

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.7%
  • 0–110.4%
  • 1–09.6%
  • 0–08.7%
  • 1–28.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Sheff Utd get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

53%Possession48%
36%Territory47%
37%From set plays60%
0.08Chance quality0.12
5.7%Directness7.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wrexham, 4 for Sheff Utd. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.