Championship · Matchweek 27
Watford
WAT
Norwich City
NOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Watford39%
Draw28%
Norwich32%
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.21
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–010.7%
- 0–19.5%
- 0–08.9%
- 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Norwich will have the ball; Watford will not mind.
43%Possession55%
31%Territory39%
31%From set plays15%
0.10Chance quality0.08
5.8%Directness4.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Watford, 4 for Norwich. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.