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Championship · Matchweek 27

Queens Park Rangers

QUE

Southampton

SOU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

QPR37%
Draw27%
Southampton35%

Expected goals

1.41 – 1.37

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–09.1%
  • 0–18.8%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Southampton will have the ball; QPR will not mind.

45%Possession53%
35%Territory38%
41%From set plays14%
0.16Chance quality0.12
5.9%Directness3.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for QPR, 4 for Southampton. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.