Championship · Matchweek 27
Preston North End
PRE
Stoke City
STK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Preston23%
Draw28%
Stoke48%
Expected goals
0.94 – 1.44
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.7%
- 1–112.5%
- 0–010.3%
- 0–29.1%
- 1–29.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Stoke will have the ball; Preston will not mind.
36%Possession57%
35%Territory37%
43%From set plays49%
0.07Chance quality0.09
5.0%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Preston, 3 for Stoke. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Preston
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.