Championship · Matchweek 27
Charlton Athletic
CHA
Middlesbrough
MID
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Charlton10%
Draw19%
Middlesbrough71%
Expected goals
0.76 – 2.20
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–212.7%
- 0–112.0%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–38.9%
- 1–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Middlesbrough will have the ball; Charlton will not mind.
43%Possession59%
32%Territory42%
24%From set plays15%
0.07Chance quality0.11
5.7%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Charlton, 3 for Middlesbrough. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Charlton
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.