Championship · Matchweek 27
Cardiff City
CAR
Wolverhampton Wanderers
WOL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cardiff32%
Draw28%
Wolves40%
Expected goals
1.26 – 1.42
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 0–110.1%
- 1–08.8%
- 1–28.7%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession53%
37%Territory36%
22%From set plays15%
0.13Chance quality0.09
6.5%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cardiff, 4 for Wolves. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Cardiff
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.