Championship · Matchweek 27
Blackburn Rovers
BLA
Swansea City
SWA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Blackburn30%
Draw27%
Swansea43%
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.50
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 0–110.2%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–08.2%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Swansea will have the ball; Blackburn will not mind.
40%Possession65%
28%Territory39%
33%From set plays34%
0.09Chance quality0.10
5.6%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Blackburn, 3 for Swansea. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Blackburn
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.