Championship · Matchweek 27
Birmingham City
BIR
Lincoln City
LIN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Birmingham65%
Draw20%
Lincoln15%
Expected goals
2.21 – 1.01
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.8%
- 1–09.4%
- 1–18.9%
- 3–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Birmingham will have the ball; Lincoln will not mind.
49%Possession38%
34%Territory28%
5%From set plays57%
0.13Chance quality0.11
6.2%Directness10.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Birmingham, 4 for Lincoln. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Birmingham
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.