Championship · Matchweek 26
Wolverhampton Wanderers
WOL
Burnley
BUR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wolves51%
Draw25%
Burnley24%
Expected goals
1.69 – 1.10
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–010.9%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–08.5%
- 0–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Burnley get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
53%Possession50%
36%Territory35%
15%From set plays47%
0.09Chance quality0.16
5.2%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Wolves, 3 for Burnley. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Burnley
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.