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Championship · Matchweek 26

West Ham United

WHU

Swansea City

SWA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

West Ham48%
Draw25%
Swansea27%

Expected goals

1.69 – 1.24

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.3%
  • 1–09.6%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 2–07.4%
  • 0–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Swansea will have the ball; West Ham will not mind.

56%Possession65%
48%Territory39%
30%From set plays34%
0.09Chance quality0.10
3.1%Directness4.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for West Ham, 3 for Swansea. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.