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Championship · Matchweek 26

Sheffield United

SHU

Bristol City

BRI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sheff Utd48%
Draw26%
Bristol City26%

Expected goals

1.60 – 1.13

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.9%
  • 1–010.9%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 2–08.0%
  • 0–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Sheff Utd get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

48%Possession42%
47%Territory33%
60%From set plays33%
0.12Chance quality0.14
7.2%Directness5.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Sheff Utd, 3 for Bristol City. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.