Championship · Matchweek 26
Queens Park Rangers
QUE
Birmingham City
BIR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
QPR46%
Draw27%
Birmingham27%
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.15
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–010.9%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–17.8%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
QPR get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
45%Possession49%
35%Territory34%
41%From set plays5%
0.16Chance quality0.13
5.9%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for QPR, 3 for Birmingham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Birmingham
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.