Championship · Matchweek 26
Portsmouth
POR
Norwich City
NOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Portsmouth39%
Draw30%
Norwich31%
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.08
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 1–012.4%
- 0–011.1%
- 0–110.6%
- 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Portsmouth get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
51%Possession55%
29%Territory39%
52%From set plays15%
0.09Chance quality0.08
6.5%Directness4.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Portsmouth, 4 for Norwich.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.