Championship · Matchweek 26
Lincoln City
LIN
Millwall
MIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lincoln19%
Draw21%
Millwall60%
Expected goals
1.16 – 2.12
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.8%
- 1–19.3%
- 0–18.6%
- 0–28.5%
- 1–36.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Millwall will have the ball; Lincoln will not mind.
38%Possession59%
28%Territory41%
57%From set plays29%
0.11Chance quality0.13
10.5%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Lincoln, 3 for Millwall. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.