Championship · Matchweek 25
West Bromwich Albion
WBA
Stoke City
STK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
West Brom52%
Draw27%
Stoke22%
Expected goals
1.58 – 0.96
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.0%
- 1–112.0%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–09.5%
- 0–08.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Stoke get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
60%Possession57%
38%Territory37%
12%From set plays49%
0.15Chance quality0.09
3.0%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for West Brom, 3 for Stoke. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.