Championship · Matchweek 25
Watford
WAT
Queens Park Rangers
QUE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Watford30%
Draw29%
QPR41%
Expected goals
1.13 – 1.35
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 0–111.7%
- 0–09.6%
- 1–09.5%
- 1–28.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
43%Possession45%
31%Territory35%
31%From set plays41%
0.10Chance quality0.16
5.8%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Watford, 3 for QPR. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.