Championship · Matchweek 25
Swansea City
SWA
Charlton Athletic
CHA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Swansea55%
Draw26%
Charlton19%
Expected goals
1.62 – 0.87
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.9%
- 1–111.6%
- 2–010.6%
- 2–19.6%
- 0–09.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Swansea will have the ball; Charlton will not mind.
65%Possession43%
39%Territory32%
34%From set plays24%
0.10Chance quality0.07
4.5%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Swansea, 3 for Charlton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Charlton
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.