Championship · Matchweek 25
Norwich City
NOR
Lincoln City
LIN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Norwich59%
Draw22%
Lincoln19%
Expected goals
2.02 – 1.10
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–110.0%
- 1–19.9%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–09.0%
- 3–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Norwich will have the ball; Lincoln will not mind.
55%Possession38%
39%Territory28%
15%From set plays57%
0.08Chance quality0.11
4.1%Directness10.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Norwich, 4 for Lincoln.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.