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Championship · Matchweek 25

Norwich City

NOR

Lincoln City

LIN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Norwich59%
Draw22%
Lincoln19%

Expected goals

2.02 – 1.10

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–110.0%
  • 1–19.9%
  • 1–09.6%
  • 2–09.0%
  • 3–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Norwich will have the ball; Lincoln will not mind.

55%Possession38%
39%Territory28%
15%From set plays57%
0.08Chance quality0.11
4.1%Directness10.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Norwich, 4 for Lincoln.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.