Championship · Matchweek 25
Middlesbrough
MID
Preston North End
PRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Middlesbrough82%
Draw12%
Preston6%
Expected goals
2.90 – 0.72
Over 2.5
69%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-2.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–011.6%
- 3–010.9%
- 1–08.2%
- 2–18.1%
- 3–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Middlesbrough will have the ball; Preston will not mind.
59%Possession36%
42%Territory35%
15%From set plays43%
0.11Chance quality0.07
5.0%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Middlesbrough, 3 for Preston. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Middlesbrough
Preston
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.