Championship · Matchweek 25
Burnley
BUR
Sheffield United
SHU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Burnley30%
Draw26%
Sheff Utd44%
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.63
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–19.1%
- 2–17.2%
- 1–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession48%
35%Territory47%
47%From set plays60%
0.16Chance quality0.12
4.3%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Burnley, 4 for Sheff Utd. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Burnley
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.