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Championship · Matchweek 25

Bristol City

BRI

West Ham United

WHU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Bristol City43%
Draw26%
West Ham31%

Expected goals

1.58 – 1.33

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.6%
  • 1–09.1%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–17.5%
  • 1–27.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

West Ham will have the ball; Bristol City will not mind.

42%Possession56%
33%Territory48%
33%From set plays30%
0.14Chance quality0.09
5.4%Directness3.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bristol City, 4 for West Ham. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.