Championship · Matchweek 25
Birmingham City
BIR
Portsmouth
POR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Birmingham47%
Draw29%
Portsmouth25%
Expected goals
1.41 – 0.97
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.5%
- 1–112.7%
- 0–010.5%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Portsmouth get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
49%Possession51%
34%Territory29%
5%From set plays52%
0.13Chance quality0.09
6.2%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Birmingham, 5 for Portsmouth. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Birmingham
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.