Championship · Matchweek 24
Wrexham
WRE
Blackburn Rovers
BLA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wrexham56%
Draw24%
Blackburn19%
Expected goals
1.77 – 0.97
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.0%
- 1–111.1%
- 2–09.9%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Wrexham will have the ball; Blackburn will not mind.
53%Possession40%
36%Territory28%
37%From set plays33%
0.08Chance quality0.09
5.7%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wrexham, 3 for Blackburn. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.