Championship · Matchweek 24
Watford
WAT
Wolverhampton Wanderers
WOL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Watford33%
Draw30%
Wolves37%
Expected goals
1.17 – 1.24
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 0–111.4%
- 1–010.7%
- 0–010.4%
- 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Wolves will have the ball; Watford will not mind.
43%Possession53%
31%Territory36%
31%From set plays15%
0.10Chance quality0.09
5.8%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Watford, 4 for Wolves. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.