Championship · Matchweek 24
Swansea City
SWA
Queens Park Rangers
QUE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Swansea32%
Draw28%
QPR39%
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.36
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 0–110.7%
- 1–09.4%
- 0–08.8%
- 1–28.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Swansea will have the ball; QPR will not mind.
65%Possession45%
39%Territory35%
34%From set plays41%
0.10Chance quality0.16
4.5%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Swansea, 3 for QPR. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.