Championship · Matchweek 24
Southampton
SOU
West Ham United
WHU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Southampton55%
Draw23%
West Ham22%
Expected goals
1.99 – 1.24
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.9%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–08.5%
- 2–07.8%
- 3–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
West Ham get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
53%Possession56%
38%Territory48%
14%From set plays30%
0.12Chance quality0.09
3.7%Directness3.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Southampton, 4 for West Ham.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.