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Championship · Matchweek 24

Norwich City

NOR

Charlton Athletic

CHA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Norwich56%
Draw25%
Charlton19%

Expected goals

1.67 – 0.90

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.3%
  • 1–111.5%
  • 2–010.4%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 0–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Norwich will have the ball; Charlton will not mind.

55%Possession43%
39%Territory32%
15%From set plays24%
0.08Chance quality0.07
4.1%Directness5.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Norwich, 3 for Charlton. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Charlton

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.