Championship · Matchweek 24
Millwall
MIL
Portsmouth
POR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Millwall53%
Draw26%
Portsmouth21%
Expected goals
1.61 – 0.93
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.2%
- 1–111.8%
- 2–09.9%
- 2–19.6%
- 0–08.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Millwall will have the ball; Portsmouth will not mind.
59%Possession51%
41%Territory29%
29%From set plays52%
0.13Chance quality0.09
7.2%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Millwall, 5 for Portsmouth. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.